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JAY's 3-ROUND MOCK DRAFT w/COMMENTS
updated 04/23/06
# TEAM PICK

PREVIOUS DRAFT
red change
black same

COMMENT
1 HOU Bush
RB
USC
Bush
RB
USC
Bush is the best player in the draft.
2 NO Williams
DE
North Carolina
Williams
DE
North Carolina
While Hawk is a player the Saints need badly, most teams won't draft a linebacker this high in the draft.  With the Saints' moving Brown to left tackle, it looks like the Brick isn't the pick.  Williams is the player the majority of analysts feel will be the most dominate in the NFL (I believe that honor will go to Ngata - see my list of players who will have better careers than many drafted higher than them in the draft).  The Saints, with Smith and Grant, have needs far greater than defensive end.  Personally I'd buck the odds and draft Hawk.
3
TEN
Leinart
QB
USC
Leinart
QB
USC
The Titans Leinart him with Norm Chow.  He is the QB the Titans want, not Young.
4
NYJ
Ferguson
OT
Virginia
Ngata
DT
Oregon
Time to get off my high horse and give the Jets the player I think they will draft, not the one I think they should draft.  Ngata will be the most valuable defensive player to come out of this draft.  That said, Ferguson is value and fills a need.
5 GB Hawk
OLB
Ohio State
Ferguson
OT
Virginia
Hawk is another player who represents good value and fills a need.  At linebacker, the Pack has Barnett and bunch of filler.
6 SF Davis
TE
Maryland
Huff
SS/CB
Texas
While the 49ers have lots of holes on defense, Smith needs a top talent to throw to, and Davis is a rare athlete at tight end.  In my fantasy football league we have our college draft the morning before the NFL college draft.  The fact that I think the 49ers will draft Davis is why I'm grabbing DeAngelo Williams over Davis in my draft where I have the fifth pick in round one.
7 OAK Young
 QB
Texas
Young
 QB
Texas
Al Davis thinks short and long term.  I have Young as the top QB in draft and something tells me the Raiders do as well.  With Ngata gone, this pick is a no-brainer.
8
BUF
Bunkley
 DT
Florida State
Bunkley
 DT
Florida State
Even with the signing of Tripplett the Bills starting defensive tackles are more promise than production, and are in need of a dominate player.  Bunkley can be that player.
9 DET Justice
OT
USC
Hawk
OLB
Ohio State
Worst case Justice comes in and starts at right tackle.  However, Backus is not signed yet, so Justice could be needed at left tackle.
10 ARZ Sims
OLB
Florida State
Davis
TE
Maryland
I think Cutler is a bit overrated, and the "chatter" at the top (Mayock of NFL Network not included) seems to be back to Leinart and Young.  The tenth spot is too high for Cutler.  Adding the speedy Sims will finally give the Cards a sideline-to-sideline playmaking linebacker.  Sims, teamed with Dansby long term gives Arizona two young studs at linebacker.
11 STL Huff
SS/CB
Texas
Sims
OLB
Florida State

The Rams can use Huff at either corner or safety.  They need help at both positions.  Personally, I like Huff as a safety.

12 CLE Greenway
OLB
Iowa
Greenway
OLB
Iowa
Linebackers are the key to the 3-4 defense, but outside of Andra Davis and newly signed Willie McGinest, the Browns don't have any playmakers (although McMillon may surprise).  The Browns would love to have Greenway fall to them here.
13 BAL Ngata
DT
Oregon
Justice
OT
USC
Ngata provides the big body the Ravens and Ray Lewis are looking for to eat up blockers.  This is a steal for the Ravens.
14 PHI Jackson
WR
Florida
Jackson
WR
Florida
Jackson has been my number one receiver for awhile and it now looks like NFL teams are reaching the same conclusion.  He is a future number one wideout.  Jackson and Brown will form a dynamic pair of young wide receivers.
15 DEN Cutler
QB
Vanderbilt
Cutler
QB
Vanderbilt
This is a more reasonable spot in the draft for Cutler.  If he shows Mayock-touted skills, the Broncos can let Plummer walk in a couple of years.  If not, Plummer can stick around and Cutler can be a solid backup.
16 MIA Whitner
SS
Ohio State
Whitner
SS
Ohio State
The Dolphins' current starting strong safety is Travares Tillman, backed Norman LeJeune and Shabazz Sideeq.  Enoug said.  Whitner has moved his way into round one and will be to the Dolphin defense what Bob Sanders is to the Colts' defense.
17 MIN Williams
 CB
Virginia Tech
Williams
 CB
Virginia Tech
The Vikings replace a lost corner named Williams with an other corner named Williams.  This Williams is a tall corner with good man-to-man cover skills.
18 DAL Allen
FS
Tennessee
Allen
FS
Tennessee
The signing of Owens changes the direction the Cowboys will go with this pick.  Allen had a great Pro Day workout clearly showing he is back from injury.  This plugs one of the last leaks in Dallas' defense.
19 SD Holmes
WR
Ohio State
Holmes
WR
Ohio State
McCardell is getting up in age, and Parker will never be more than an average two or solid three.  The Chargers draft Holmes who will play in the slot this year and become a starter down the road.
20 KC Cromartie
CB
Florida State
Cromartie
CB
Florida State
Cromartie is a fast rising prospect.  Personally, I like Hill a lot more but, in the recent past, the Chiefs tend to go against my evaluations.
21 NE Maroney
RB
Minnesota
Maroney
RB
Minnesota
While the Patriots saw last year what happens when they don't have depth and talent at inside linebacker so Jackson will be tempting, Maroney is too good for them to pass up.  Dillon is aging.  Maroney is the pick over Williams because the Pats have Faulk who is a small, quick back like Deangelo.
22 SF Wimbley
DE/OLB
Florida State
Wimbley
DE/OLB
Florida State
The 49ers trade up to get Wimbley who has been making a move up draft boards.  Wimbley is drafted as a pass-rushing OLB for their 3-4 defense.
Also picked: Davis TE
23 TB McNeill
OT
Auburn
McNeill
OT
Auburn
Walker and Davis are both just average starters.  McNeill is the pick over Winston because of his ability to play either side.
24 CIN Watson
DT
Michigan
Watson
DT
Michigan
While a tight end will be tempting, there are plenty of good ones in this draft.  Watson is a big man who the Bengals can plug immediately into the middle of their defense.  He is a bit of a risk because he hasn't shown a constant motor, but if they can get him juiced to play every down, he will be a monster in the middle of their line.
25 NYG Moss
WR
Miami
Carpenter
OLB
Ohio State
The Giants have signed a number of corners including Sam Madison, and now, two linebackers as well (including Arrington).  Therefore, I now have them going with a receiver.  Moss is the short, quick receiver to go with the Burress and Toomer who are the bigger receiver.
26 CHI Lewis
TE
UCLA
Hill
CB
Clemson
Now that the Bears have signed Manning Jr., I'll finally concede and have them draft a tight end, like all the other draft prognosticators.  However, I'll have them go after Lewis over Pope since Lewis has more potential as a blocker.
27 CAR Hill
CB
Clemson
Lewis
TE
UCLA
The Panthers don't waste a minute.  If the draft goes like this they get their card in immediately and jump at drafting Hill, a big-time upgrade over Manning Jr.  By the way, this is because I think Hill is the best corner in the draft, not that I'm knocking Manning Jr.
28 JAC Carpenter
OLB
Ohio State
Ryans
OLB
Alabama
The Jaguars signed Brian Williams so will no longer look at cornerback at this spot.  Carpenter has the size to play the SAM and is drafted to replace Ayodele who left for Dallas.
29 NYJ Lawson
DE/OLB
NC State
Lawson
DE/OLB
NC State
Lawson, who ran a 4.41 forty at his Pro Day, is drafted as the primary rush linebacker in the Jets new 3-4 defense.
Also picked: Ferguson OT
30 IND Williams
RB
Memphis
Williams
RB
Memphis
The Colts can't believe their luck.  With Denver out of round one, and Maroney a better fit for the Pats, Williams, the second best running back in the draft falls to them.  He will be a star in their offense.
31 SEA Joseph
CB
South Carolina
Jean-Gilles
OG
Georgia
While the Seahawks have plugged the Hutchinson loss very well, Jean-Gilles has the ability to grow into a stud ala the Seahawks' old guard.
32 PIT White
RB
USC
Moss
WR
Miami
Moss is now off the board.  The Steelers change directions and grab White to be theri power running back

ROUND 2
# TEAM PICK

HISTORY

COMMENT
33 HOU Winston
OT
Miami
Winston
OT
Miami
The Texans draft a badly needed offensive lineman.  Winston replaces Wade on the right side.
Also picked: Bush RB
34 NO Ryans
OLB
Alabama
Mangold
C
Ohio State
The Saints need linebacker help and could even take Hawk at the second spot in the draft.  In round three there will be a quality center, but maybe not a starting-caliber linebacker.  Therefore, Ryans is the pick here.
Also picked:
Williams DE
35
NYJ
Addai
RB
LSU
Joseph
CB
South Carolina
The Jets grab Addai to split time with Martin this year, and take over as a starter next year.
Also picked: Ferguson OT, Lawson OLB
36
GB Jean-Gilles
OG
Georgia
Howard
OLB
UTEP
The Packers haven't recovered from losing the starting guards a couple of years ago.  Jean-Gilles is a first round talent the Packers get in round two.
Also picked: Hawk OLB
37 DEN Williams
WR
Oregon
White
RB
USC
Denver has it's choice of second-tier receivers.  I like Williams and Jennings.  Stovall and Hagan could also be in the mix.  Williams is silky smooth and may not be a game-breaker, but will be a very good NFL receiver.
Also picked: Cutler QB
38 OAK Joseph
OG
Oklahoma
Joseph
OG
Oklahoma
The Raiders resigned Gibson so guard is a more urgent need, although I expect the Raiders to draft a safety later in the draft.  Joseph can pull for Jordan and will challenge Badger for a starting spot.
Also picked:
Young QB
38 TEN Marshall
CB
Fresno State
Spencer
OG
Pittsburgh
Pacman Jones looks like he may be a bust.  Marshall could be a starter his rookie year for the Titans.
Also picked: Leinart QB
40
DET K Jennings
CB
Miami
K Jennings
CB
Miami
Jennings has first round abilities and challenges Bryant for a starting job opposite Bly.
Also picked: Justice OT
41 ARZ Simpson
FS
South Carolina
Simpson
FS
South Carolina
Simpson is the choice and he back up Griffith this year and start next year at free safety opposite White. 
Also picked: Sims OLB
42 BUF Mangold
C
Ohio State
Williams
WR
Oregon
The of Fowler won't dissuade the Bills from jumping at drafting Mangold, who has a first grade.
Also picked: Bunkley
43 CLE Youboty
CB
Ohio State
Jackson
ILB
Maryland

McGinnest, Greenway, Davis and Jackson, now that's a solid linebacking group!
Also picked: Greenway OLB

44 BAL A Smith
FS
Syracuse
Kiwanuka
DE
Boston College
Smith is brought in to replace Demps.  He is a heady player and will give the Ravens two playmakers at safety.
Also picked: Ngata DT
45 PHI McCargo
DT
N C State
McCargo
DT
N C State
With White off the board, the Eagles change up and draft McCargo to push Walker for starting job.
Also picked: Jackson WR
46 STL Pope
TE
Georgia
Pope
TE
Georgia
The Rams say their going to utilize a tight end in their offense this year.  Pope is a giant target with speed and hands.
Also picked: Huff SS/CB
47 ATL Lutui
OG
USC
Youboty
CB
Ohio State
Lutui can challenge Lehr for a starting job this year or next year.
48 MIN Hodge
ILB
Iowa
Hodge
ILB
Iowa
Childress knows the value of a tough middle linebacker from his Trotter and Trotter-less days in Philly.  Hodge allows Henderson to battle Thomas on the weak side.
Also picked: Williams CB
49 DAL Clemens
QB
Oregon
Whitehurst
QB
Clemson
Clemens is the hot prospect at QB heading into the draft.  Sounds like a Jerry Jones type of pick to me.  Personally, I like a number of quarterbacks better than Clemens.
Also picked:
Allen FS
50 SD Bullocks
SS
Nebraska
Bullocks
SS
Nebraska
Bullocks replaces Kiel who hasn't developed as the Chargers expected. 
Also picked: Holmes WR
51 MIN Kiwanuka
DE
Boston College
Lutui
OG
USC
Kiwanuka starts off as a pass rush specialist replacing Johnstone.
Also picked: Williams CB, Hodge ILB
52 NE Jackson
ILB
Maryland
Wilkinson
ILB
Georgia Tech
The Pats had problems at inside linebacker last year.  Jackson adds depth and is a future starter.  Jackson is a steal at this spot in the draft.
Also picked:
Maroney RB
53 WAS Howard
OLB
UTEP
McIntosh
OLB
Miami
Carter was signed, I believe, to play defensive end, not linebacker where he was moved to last year.  Howard is drafted to compete for a starting spot on the weak side to replace Arrington.  Howard is excellent value at this spot in the draft.  He is a great athlete.
54 KC Stovall
WR
Notre Dame
Stovall
WR
Notre Dame
Stovall gives the Chiefs a big target.  He could push Parker to the bench as the third wideout.
Also picked: Cromartie CB
55 CIN Tapp
DE
Virginia Tech
Tapp
DE
Virginia Tech
The Bengals have no depth at defensive end.  Tapp is a very underrated player.
Also picked: Watson DT
56 NYG Wright
DT
Texas
Wright
DT
Texas
The Giants need depth at defensive tackle.  Wright is a potential replacement for Clancy.
Also picked: Moss WR
57 CHI Lewis
DT
Virginia Tech
Fasano
TE
Notre Dame
The Bears' draft their second Lewis, this time Jonathan, a DT to add depth with the Tank Johnson injured.
Also picked: Lewis TE
58 CAR Fasano
TE
Notre Dame
Bing
SS/OLB
USC
The Panthers want their tight end to block and catch.  Hence the choice of Fasano over Byrd and Klopfenstein.
Also picked:
Hill CB
59 TB G Jennings
WR
Western Michigan
G Jennings
WR
Western Michigan
Jennings is an underrated player.  He is fast, quick and has great hands.  He will push Hilliard for the slot receiver position this year, and could be Galloway's replacement down the road.
Also picked: McNeill OT
60 JAC Klopfenstein
TE
Colorado
Klopfenstein
TE
Colorado
Brady can block, Whrigster can catch, Klopfenstein can do both.  Another player for my underrated list.
Also picked: Carpenter OLB
61 DEN Bryd
TE
USC
Marshall
WR
Central Florida
Byrd is a willing blocker, and can improve, and is a very good receiver.  Byrd will be an upgar5de over Putzier.
Also picked: Cutler QB, Williams WR
62 IND Dvoracek
DT
Oklahoma
Nande
OLB/ILB
Miami (Ohio)
Dvoracek is the type of fast, quick, player that the Colts like.  He provides depth at a position that has depth concerns.
Also picked: Williams RB
63 SEA Watkins
FS
Florida State
Watkins
FS
Florida State
Watkins is Hamlin-insurance.  He is a heady player with more athletic ability than initially thought.
Also picked: Joseph CB
64 PIT Marshall
WR
Central Florida
Harris
 DT/DE
Miami
This is the type of gutsy pick the Steelers make.  Marshall is a bit raw, but could develop into the best of the bigger receivers in the draft in a couple of years.  He is a big-play receiver, can get open deep, and catches the ball over the middle.
Also picked: White RB

ROUND 3

# TEAM PICK

HISTORY

COMMENT
65 HOU McIntosh
OLB
Miami
Wroten
DT
LSU
McIntosh is the Texans' future at the WILL.  Greenwood is nothing special, and Cowart is aging.
Also picked: Bush RB, Winston OT
66 HOU Edwards
DE
Purdue
Edwards
DE
Purdue
Outside of Weaver the Texans' defensive ends are pass-rush types (Peek, Babin, Kalu).  Edwards adds size and the ability to play the run.
Also picked: Bush RB, Winston OT, McIntosh
67
GB
Maxey
CB
Miami
Marshall
CB
Fresno State
Maxey has good speed, and good height.  He is a bit raw, but so was Nick Collins last year.
Also picked: Hawk OLB, Jean-Gilles OG
68
DEN Mahelona
DT
Tennessee
Bryd
TE
USC
Mahelona gives the Broncos depth at defensive tackle.
Also picked: Cutler QB, Williams WR, Bryd TE
69 OAK Havner
OLB
UCLA
Havner
OLB
UCLA
Havner is a better athlete than advertised.  He is a true strong-side linebacker and should start with Clark and Morrison.
Also picked: Young QB, Joseph OG
70 BUF Griffin
CB/FS
Texas
Griffin
CB/FS
Texas
Griffin starts playing as the dime or nickel, and eventually settles in as Clement's or Vincent's replacement next year.
Also picked: Bunkley DT, Mangold C
71 NYJ Oshinowo
DT
Stanford
Addai
RB
LSU
The Jets draft Oshinowo who can play nose in the 3-4.
Also picked: Ferguson OT, Lawson OLB, Addai RB
72
ARZ Croyle
QB
Alabama
Croyle
QB
Alabama
Croyle becomes the Cards quarterback of the future.
Also picked: Sims OLB, Simpson FS
73 BUF Spencer
OG
Pittsburgh
Sims
OG
Ohio State
Spencer will provide excellent depth having and has the ability to be a good starting guard in the NFL.
Also picked: Bunkley DT, Mangold C, Griffin CB/FS
74 DET Wilkinson
ILB
Georgia Tech
Scott
OT
Texas
Wilkinson offers the Lions another option at linebacker.  He can challenge Lehman in the middle, or Lewis at the WILL.
Also picked: Justice OT, K Jennings CB
75 NE Hagan
WR
Arizona State
Hagan
WR
Arizona State

At one time Hagan was considered the top senior wide receiver in the draft.  He has good skills and will contribute to the Pats offense his rookie year.
Also picked:
Maroney RB, Jackson ILB

76 PHI Lundy
RB
Virginia
Lundy
RB
Virginia
Lundy is the power back the Eagles need to pair with Westbrook, and has good speed as well.
Also picked: Jackson WR, McCargo DT
77 STL Manning
CB/FS
Abilene Christian
A Smith
FS
Syracuse
Manning is another player who could fit at corner or safety.  The Rams need help at both positions.
Also picked: Huff SS/CB, Pope TE
78 CLE Harris
DT/DE
Miami
Cofield
DT/DE
Northwestern
Harris is drafted as a 3-4 defensive end and is part of the rotation his rookie year, and a starter down the road.
Also picked: Greenway OLB, Youboty CB
79 ATL McPhearson
CB
Maryland
Calhoun
RB
Wisconsin
McPhearson has the measureables that the Falcons love.  He is one of the best athletes in the draft and, with coaching, can be a quality starting cornerback.
Also picked: Lutui OG
80 DAL B Williams
WR
Wisconsin
B Williams
WR
Wisconsin
Williams is a perfect fit as the slot receiver playing with Owens and Glenn.  He can also help Dallas in the return game.
Also picked: Allen FS, Clemens QB
81 SD Oshinowo
DT
Stanford
Oshinowo
DT
Stanford
Oshinowo offers depth behind Williams at nose tackle.
Also picked: Holmes WR, Bullocks SS
82 MIA GoCong
DE/OLB
Cal Poly
GoCong
DE/OLB
Cal Poly
GoCong becomes a pass rush specialist early, could push Hodge at SLB, and in a year or two is a starting OLB in the Dolphins' 3-4 alignment.
Also picked: Whitner SS
83 MIN Jacobs
QB
Bowling Green
Jacobs
QB
Bowling Green
Jacobs becomes the Vikings' quarterback of the future.
Also picked: Williams CB, Hodge ILB
84 WAS Hali
DE
Penn State
Hali
DE
Penn State
Hali's horrendous workout, and inability to play end or linebacker in a 3-4 defense leads to him falling to the Redskins in round three.  This will either be a great value pick, or a wasted pick.
Also picked:
Howard OLB
85 KC McNeal
QB/WR
Texas A&M
McNeal
QB/WR
Texas A&M
The Chiefs can offer McNeal a chance to be the quarterback of the future, while working him at receiver.  If (when?) he shows he's better off at receiver, he can play that position full time.
Also picked: Cromartie CB, Stovall WR
86 NE Colledge
OT/OG
Boise State
Colledge
OT/OG
Boise State
Colledge is a versatile lineman who provides depth while waiting for his chance to start.
Also picked:
Maroney RB, Jackson ILB, Hagan WR
87 NYG Scott
OT
Texas
Webb
WR
San Diego State
The Giants are not happy with Petitgout at left tackle.  Scott has skills and will be looked at as a potential replacement for him.
Also picked: MOss WR, Wright DT
88 CAR Bing
SS/OLB
USC
Oshinowo
DT
Stanford
Bing, like many strong safeties before him, falls in the draft but has a good chance to start at strong safety for the Panthers.
Also picked: Hill CB, Fasano TE
89 CAR Calhoun
RB
Wisconsin
Pittman
CB
NW State
Calhoun is not the big, bruising back the Panthers like to feature, but he can be an excellent change-of-pace and third-down back.  Another weapon for the Panther offense.
Also picked: Hill CB, Fasano TE, Bing SS
90 TB Anderson
DE
Alabama
Anderson
DE
Alabama
Anderson is a freak of an athlete and an excellent pass rusher.  With Rice getting up in years, Anderson could become the stud pass rusher to replace him in a year or two.
Also picked: McNeal OT, G Jennings WR
91 CIN Scheffler
TE
Western Michigan
Scheffler
TE
Western Michigan
Scheffler provides the Bengals with an excellent receiving option at tight end.
Also picked: Watson DT, Tapp DE
92 JAC Pittman
CB
NW State
McPhearson
CB
Maryland
Pittman has good skills and can develop into a good nickel corner for the Jags.
Also picked: Carpenter OLB, Klopfenstein TE
93 DEN Harrison
RB
Washington State
Dvoracek
DT
Oklahoma
Harrison is a very underrated running back.  He has excellent skills and could do very well in the Denver system.  Harrison will push Dayne and Bell for the starting job.
Also picked: Cutler QB, Williams RB, Bryd TE, Mahelona DT
94 IND Nande
OLB/ILB
Miami (Ohio)
Mahelona
DT
Tennessee
Nande is a perfect fit for the Colts. He replaces Thornton, a weak side linebacker playing the strong side (which is why he was allowed to leave).  Nande has 4.5 forty speed and also possess tremendous strength (41 lifts).  His rare combination of speed and strength allows the Colts to keep their team speed on defense while having a true strong side linebacker.
Also picked: Williams RB, Dvoracek DT
95 SEA Hester
CB
Miami
Hester
CB
Miami
Hester will give the Seahawks a dynamic return man and will battle for time at cornerback.
Also picked: Joseph CB, Watkins FS
96 PIT Cofield
DT/DE
Northwestern
Harper
FS
Alabama
Coefield is moved to end and challenges Keisel for playing time.
Also picked: White RB, Marshall WR
97 NYJ Sims
OG
Ohio State
Whitworth
OT
LSU
Sims provides depth at guard and can challenge Moore for a starting job.
Also picked: Ferguson OT, Lawson OLB, Addai RB, Oshinowo DT