JAY's MOCK DRAFT WITH COMMENTS
updated: 4/27/07 -
now 3 rounds
|The Raiders need a quarterback and
Russell has the big arm that Davis likes. He is also a big
kid who will be able to take the beating he'll get from the
Raiders' porous offensive line. If Randy Moss decides to
give the kid a chance, Russell could be ideal for resurrecting his
career. Russell throws the deep ball very well.
Pick history: Russell, Russell, Russell
|Adams and the Lions are a match that
makes sense and one that should happen. For it to happen the
Lions will have to trade down, #2 is a bit too high for the best
defensive end in the draft. The potential trade of Briggs to
Washington will have a major impact on Detroits' trade partners.
If the Redskins stay at #6, the Lions cannot risk trading to a
team below them since they also need a pass rusher and could
target Adams. However, they could be a potential trade
partner, moving up to #2 to grab Johnson ahead of Tampa Bay.
My one change, is that I now expect Tampa Bay to move up to grab
Pick history: Adams, Adams, Adams
|Peterson's Combine workout makes him
the pick although Thomas will be tempting (which will help grease
the wheels for the trade between Detroit and Arizona).
Many mock drafts now have the Browns selecting Quinn.
However, the Browns want to win now. Look for QB Trent Green
to wind up in Cleveland, not Miami, and for the Browns to draft
Peterson, who is the next NFL stud running back. Having
Jamal Lewis will have no impact on the selection of Peterson.
He has become one of those "good, but replaceable"
running backs (much like the departed Droughns).
Pick history: Thomas, Peterson, Peterson
|No team is rooting for the Briggs to
Washington trade more than the Bucs. If the Redskins stay at
#6 they are a threat to trade with Detroit to jump ahead of them
and select Johnson. Even if the Bears would like to do the
same thing, I can't see the Lions trading with their NFC North
rivals. Despite all the recent Gruden talk, if Peterson is
on the board as well as Johnson, Johnson will be the pick.
Now expect the Bucs to move up to #2 to grab Johnson.
Pick history: Johnson, Johnson, Johnson
|Thomas is the player the Cards want
but they will probably have to trade with Detroit to get him.
If Detroit stays at 2 and drafts Thomas then the Cards may look to
drop a few spots to draft Levi Brown. If they stay at #5 and
Thomas is off the board, they could reach for Brown.
Pick history: Brown, Thomas, Thomas
|The two players the Redskins want
the most, Johnson and Adams are off the board. Previously, I
had them selecting Anderson, and while that is still a
possibility, he appears to be slipping a bit. While a big
body run-stuffing DT like Branch is what the Redskins need, he is
falling further than Anderson on many draft boards. Okoye is
a young player with excellent athleticism for a defensive tackle
and, because of his youth, can get even bigger. In addition
to his ability to play the run, Okoye has pass rush skills which
is also a need for Washington.
Pick history: Anderson, Anderson, Okoye
|The Vikings got burned with the
speedster Williamson, so I don't think they'll go for Ginn Jr.
Quinn has too much upside for a team without a sure thing for now
or the future to pass up. Looks like the trade up for
Jackson was a mistake last year.
Pick history: Jarrett, Quinn, Quinn
|Landry had a great workout showing
tremendous speed to go with his on-field talent. Landry can
play in the box, and has the speed to cover slot receivers when
needed. Long term he may be a better strong safety than free
safety, however, he'll step in and start opposite Lawyer Milloy
from day one.
Pick history: Nelson, Landry, Landry
|With Quinn off the board, the
Dolphins go for a playmaker on offense. Ginn Jr. is not my
second rated receiver, but he is a perfect fit for the Dolphins.
First, they lost Welker, so Ginn Jr. not only replaces him in that
role, but is an upgrade over a good football player. Second,
even if he doesn't have a big stat year, he will make Chris
Chambers a more productive football player. Teams will have
to respect Ginn Jr.'s game-breaking speed so a safety will have to
shade to his side of the field. That will open up the big
play for Chambers, who also has good speed. In
addition, on third downs the Dolphins can line up Booker and Ginn
Jr. on the outside, and move Chambers to the slot where he will be
lethal. So even if Ginn Jr. doesn't catch a lot of balls, he
will have a major positive impact on the Dolphins' offense.
Pick history: Quinn, Ginn Jr., Ginn Jr.
|Carr was running for his life more
often than not behind the Texans' offensive line. New
starter Schaub was unable to steal some of Vick's speed and
quickness on his way out of the Falcon's door. Therefore,
the Texans' will need to protect him better than they did Carr, or
he won't fare any better. The Spencer injury means the
Texans need an OLT. While I like Levi Brown more than
Staley, he did not test as well as I expected. The zone
blocking scheme used by the Texans requires quick, athletic
offensive lineman. That fits the fast-rising, former TE
Staley to a tee.
Pick history: Peterson, Brown, Staley
|Last year while the big man Ngata
started to slip I said it was a mistake. This year I'll say
the same thing about Branch. Branch is strong, and has good
speed and athleticism for his size. He will be a run-stuffer as a
nose in a 3-4, one capable of engaging blockers, keeping the
linebackers free to make plays. The 49ers want to move
towards a 3-4 and that defense needs a stud in the middle.
Branch is that guy.
Pick history: Branch, Branch, Branch
|When the Bills selected Whitner
early in round one last year, most draft analysts blasted them.
I did not. I liked the pick. The Bills are a team that
gets the new NFL landscape. Prior to free agency and the
salary cap, drafting the best player available made sense.
It was the only way teams could get top players. Today, the
draft is just one way to replenish talent. Free agency is
another option. In addition, the salary cap means a team
cannot afford to have too much money tied up in any position.
Therefore, need is more important than ever when approaching the
college draft. That doesn't mean that a team should reach
significantly for a player, but a team should arrange players in
groups and choose the player they need most from that group, not
the top player or two or three in the group. Along that line
of thinking, Lynch is not the #12 ranked player in the draft, but
he is in the next group of 10 to 15 players and fills a major need
for the Bills. Willis is also a strong possibility here, but
the Bills plan to move Crowell to the middle and he should be fine
Pick history: Willis, Lynch, Lynch
|The Rams need a LB, a DT, a
pass-rushing DE, and a young WR. I know they now have DE
James Hall, formerly of Detroit, but the Lions' number one need in
the draft is a pass-rushing defensive end, so if Hall was the
answer, I doubt they would have got rid of him. Of the Rams'
four needs DE and WR have players worth drafting at this spot.
However, there is excellent depth at WR in this draft, so Anderson
will be the Rams' pick.
Pick history: Timmons, Timmons, Anderson
|For a team that many thought would
go to the Super Bowl last year, this team certainly has a lot of
needs. While many draft analysts point to safety in this
spot, there are some interesting options later in the draft
(Weddle, Rouse, Piscitelli, Wendling, etc.). With Rucker,
who was slowing down anyway, coming off injury, and long time
backup Al Wallace gone, the Panthers suddenly need a defensive
end. Carriker is a player I like a lot and still could be the
pick. However, with Morgan not able to stay healthy, and the
team in need of a playmaker to replace Witherspoon, Willis makes
sense since he can start out at the weakside, and move to the
middle if (when?) Morgan gets injured.
Pick history: Rice, Nelson, Willis
|Carriker is a player I like a lot.
You just don't get DEs who are close to 300 pounds and test out
well when compared to smaller athletic ends. Carriker is
relentless, will be stout against the run, and can rush the
passer. In addition, he can play end in both the currebt
3-4, and the 4-3, new coach Tomlins' preferred system, which may
be used in the future.
Pick history: Carriker, Carriker, Hall
|While the The Packers need a running
back, they will wait to grab one later in the draft. In
olden days Favre liked throwing to tight end Mark Chumura.
Bubba Franks, who showed promise early on his career, has
disappointed recently. Olsen will provide Favre with a
reliable weapon at tight end. Now if the get Randy Moss
Pick history: Lynch, Olsen, Olsen
|While DE Charles Johnson is an
option, with Grant leaving for Seattle, the Jaguars are left with
two thumpers at safety (Darius and Sensabaugh) and could use a
playmaking center-field type of safety. Nelson had 6
interceptions at Florida last season and covers a lot of ground
with his sub-4.4 speed. This choice is not a knock on
Sensabaugh, who I believe will be a solid NFL player. He is just
more of an in-the-box safety than a true free safety.
Pick history: Ginn Jr, Johnson, Nelson
|The Bengals need help in the middle,
badly. Harrell is a strong, athletic tackle with the talent
to be a star in the NFL. Some teams may have him downgraded
on their draft boards because he tore his bicep in his senior year
and only played three games. The Bengals draft Harrrell
replacing character risk with injury risk. This time,
however, the risk pays off.
Pick history: Moses, Okoye, Harrell
|I could see the Titans selecting a
receiver like Meachem or Bowe, a safety like Meriweather, or a
guard like Grubbs or Blalock. However, with Jones out for
the year, and the top corner Hall still on the board, that is the
way the Titans will go. THere will still be good receivers and
guards available later in the draft.
Pick history: Okoye, Meachem, Meachem
|A team needs at least one corner who
is above average, doesn't it? The Giants current
cornerbacks, Madison, Webster, McQuarters, and Dockery, bring one
word to mind - ehhh. Houston is my top rated corner in the
draft and would immediately become the Giants' top cornerback.
He has the speed, strength, quickness, talent and attitude to be a
perennial Pro Bowl player.
Pick history: Ugoh, Hall, Houston
|With Willis off the board, the
Broncos will wait until round two and hope David Harris is
availabl as Al Wilson;s replacement. If not, there are other
options. The Broncos draft Moss to provide them with the
pass rush they desperately need.
Pick history: Pitcock, Ugoh, Willis
|This may be a no-brainer if
Meriweather is on the board and nobody unexpected falls. I
know the Cowboys' signed Hamlin, but if you watched Seahawk games
last year you know that they suffered from the same weakness as
the Boys; safeties who had lapses in coverage. Hamlin is
more like Roy Williams than like a true coverage safety.
Meriweather is a safety, who is excellent in pass coverage.
If this scenario happens it wouldn't surprise me if Dallas plays
Hamlin at strong safety, Meriweather at weak safety, and Williams
in a roving nickel linebacker role on passing downs.
Pick history: Revis, Meriweather,
|I expect the Chiefs to draft a wide
receiver in this spot. I've given a lot of thought to which
one. In my many years of covering the draft I've found teams
that are on the same wavelength as me (e.g. Denver), and teams
that often, are not. The Chiefs are one of the teams with
whom I often do not see eye to eye. Therefore, I have them
drafting Jarrett, a tall, relatively slow receiver who I expect to
be more like Reggie Williams (okay) than Mike Williams (flop).
I have a mid-to-late second round grade on Jarrett, who is my
ninth ranked wide receiver in the draft. He will go higher
than I have him graded, so what better than to have him drafted by
a team I don't always agree with. They will look for Shields
replacement in round two.
Pick history: Bowe, Bowe, Jarrett
|The Pats usually don't draft big,
strong tackles; they prefer the quick, athletic type. But
they usually don't go after the top players at their position in
free agency either (Thomas, Stallworth). So while Brown is
not the usual Patriot tackle in terms of style, he is just too
good for them to pass up at this spot on the draft. Light
was a bit inconsistent last year and Brown offers depth,
competition, and a future star on the Pats' offensive line.
Pick history: Posluszny, Jarrett, Brown
|The Jets continue what they started
last year and add to a young, talented offensive line.
Blalock is the choice over Grubbs because he could fit in at
either right guard or right tackle. With Ferguson and
Mangold added last year, and Blalock this year, the Jets are a
team moving in the right direction.
Pick history: Blalock, Houston, Blalock
|The Eagles lost Roderick Hood who
has been a solid #3 corner for them for years. While former
Giant William James (Peterson) is on hand, the Giants let him go
because of serious back troubles. Revis will step in
immediately as the nickel, and could become a better corner than
either Brown or Sheppard. Remember, the Eagles drafted Brown
and Sheppard when Troy Vincent and Bobby Taylor were still a top
Pick history: Bush, Ross, Revis
|With the signing of David, the
Saints no longer have to go corner at this spot. While they
signed Simmons and have above average linebackers, the Saints
don't have a dominate linebacker who can be the face of the
defense. Timmons will be that guy.
Pick history: McCauley, Revis, Ross
|Look for the Pats to draft Beason
and move him to inside linebacker. Posluzny, could be
considered, but he played better as a junior as a weakside
linebacker in a 4-3 than he did as a senior playing inside in a
3-4. Beason is a weakside linebacker who made tackles
sideline to sideline in college, but showed only good speed (not
top speed) in his workouts. He could be a perfect fit inside
for the Pats. And don't compare his situation to the Jets'
Vilma (who played better in a 4-3 than the 3-4). Vilma
bulked up from his college weight to get to the 230's to play in
the middle in the NFL. Beason played in the 230's at Miami.
Pick history: Meriweather, Willis, Beason
Prior players selected: OT Brown
|While it will be tempting to draft a
player to replace the departed Thomas at this spot (and players
like Moss and Spencer are available and worthy of this spot in the
draft), Mangold showed how drafting a top center can help a
football team. Flynn is getting up in age and was
overmatched at times last year. Kalil will come in and
start, relegating Flynn to quality reserve.
Pick history: Leonard, Moss, Kalil
|The Chargers get a steal at the
bottom of round one. Bowe is my #2 rated receiver and will
upgrade the entire Charger offense. He is even one of the
better blocking receivers which will help Tomlinson, although he
needs very little help. Bowe will quickly become a favorite
target of Philip Rivers.
Pick history: Meachem, Rice, Bowe
|This is Briggs last year with the
Bears. Posluszny may be the best pure weakside linebacker in
the draft. In an ironic twist, however, if the Bears trade
Briggs and swap picks in round one with the Redskins, they would
probably lose Posluszny, the ideal replacement for Briggs.
Posluszny would be gobbled up by the Colts who pick next making
him (or possible Beason) unavailable for the Bears in round two
where they pick fifth in the Redskin's slot. If the Colts
passed on Posluszny (or Beason if he is the player that falls),
there is a good chance he (or Beason) would fall to the Bears in
round two. It is this scenario that has the Bears thinking
hard on a trade, that on the surface, looks like a no-brainer.
Pick history: Johnson, Posluszny, Posluszny
|Earlier I wrote that no
team is rooting for a Briggs to Washington trade as much as Tampa
Bay. While that is true, Indy isn't far behind. If
Chicago moves out of position #31 (and Washington into this spot),
there is a much better chance that the Colts can get their
replacement for Cato June at this spot in the draft. I know
they are talking up Keiaho, but I'm not convinced he will be their
guy. With the top weakside linebackers gone, and Dvaid now
joining Harper as ex-Colts, Ross becomes the pick over Smith.
Pick history: Beason, Beason, Smith
|After drafting their
franchise quarterback in round one, the Raiders must go about the
business of protecting the youngster. The Raiders are moving
disappointing to date Robert Gallery back to the right side.
Veteran Barry Sims is slotted for left tackle. Ugoh can push Sims
to the bench, or Gallery if he remains a swinging door to the
Pick history: Ugoh
Prior players selected: QB Russell
|Many projections have
the Lions' drafting Edwards at this spot and that is a
possibility. However, only da Raiders allowed more
sacks than the Lions last year and they were last in the league in
average rush yards averaging an uninspiring 70.6 yards per game
and 3.7 yards per rush. With Grubbs still on the board, the Lions
(listening to Martz saying his system doesn't need a big time
quarterback), the Lions shun Stanton and draft Grubbs, who many
have rated the #1 guard in the draft.
Pick history: Grubbs
Prior players selected: DE Adams
|I can see the Bucs
going corner, safety, or defensive end at this spot. There
are certainly quality players worthy of this spot at all three of
those positions. However, with Rice no sure thing to
rebound, White gone in free agency, recently signed Kevin Carter's
best sack days behind him, and Spires not exactly a sack machine,
the Bucs most pressing need at this spot is a pass rushing
defensive end. There are a number of possibilities at this
spot, but the Bucs take Spencer who will be better at end in a 4-3
than as an OLB in a 3-4..
Pick history: Moss
Prior players selected: WR Johnson
|Cleveland could go
offensive line here, but Baxter is unable to stay healthy and
Kenny Wright and Holly are best served as nickel corners.
Therefore, I have the Browns drafting Eric Wright, who has shot up
the draft board based on his tremendous post-season, to pair with
Bodden. For the record, Josh Wilson is the next corner on my
board. He is a terrific player but may drop because of his
lack of height.
Pick history: Wright
Prior players selected: RB Peterson
|If the Bears trade
Briggs, then they will still have a need for a weakside linebacker
at this spot since their pick in round one at #6 will not be a
linebacker. A sleeper at this spot if Posluszny and Beason
are gone in that scenario is Quincy Black of New Mexico. As
it stands now this is a tough call. The Bears have age and
need depth on their offensive line. They can also use
playmakers on offense. My choice came down to Aaron Sears
since he could backup guard and tackle and would be a future
starter, Jason Hill a wide receiver I like a lot, and Antonio
Pittman a perfect replacement for Thomas Jones. Obviously I
went with Pittman. I did so because I do not have faith in
Cedric Benson and Pittman cannot only can be a compliment to
Benson, but he has the ability to be a number 1 back.
Pick history: Pittman
Prior players selected: OLB Posluszny
|The Cards signing of
safety Terrance Holt changed my thinking regarding this pick, and
long term, that signing could be a mistake. As it turns out
Michael Griffin is still on the draft board and he would have been
a dynamic player to pair with Adrian Wilson, but with Holt on
board, the Cards won't go in that direction. However,
Spencer is a nice get as well. With Berry not being able to
stay healthy, a pass-rushing end is needed. Before the
season, if anyone told you Johnson would be drafted ahead of his
more heralded teammate Moses you wouldn't have believed it.
Pick history: Spencer
Prior players selected: OT Thomas
|The loss of Kerney in
free agency leaves a big hole on the Falcons' defensive line.
Playing opposite John Abraham can be a plum assignment because of
the double-teams he constantly gets in pass-rushing situations.
Crowder has excellent athleticism. He will go higher
than many have him graded. However, I like the kid and
believe he is worth this spot in the draft.
Pick history: Johnson
Prior players selected: S Landry
|Events leading up to
the draft couldn't have worked out better for Miami. Just a
few weeks ago Chicago, Arizona or Atlanta could have selected
Griffin ahead of the Dolphins. However, Chicago traded for
Archuleta, Arizona signed Holt, and Atlanta drafted Landry in
round one. The Dolphins secondary needs a major upgrade and
Griffin is a good start. He can be a difference maker.
Pick history: Griffin
Prior players selected: WR Ginn Jr.
|The Vikings, with the
disappointing, but vision-corrected Williamson, and the okay slot
receiver who looks great in practice Wade as the current starters,
means Meachem would easily become Minnesota's top target in his
rookie year. With the depth at receiver, at least one top receiver
is going to fall. The Vikings are in a perfect spot here to
grab the "faller".
Pick history: Hill
Prior players selected: QB Quinn
|This choice could come
down to inside linebacker or wide receiver. With Lelie
added, the 49ers have a speed receiver. Rice is a good
compliment since he has good size and the only thing he is lacking
is top speed. Besides, the 49ers had a lot of success with
another wide receiver named Rice. If the 49ers went
linebacker here, David Harris would make sense.
Pick history: Rice
Prior players selected: DT Branch
|While the Bills could use a
linebacker at this spot, the best value on the board at a need
position is wide receiver. The pick could come down to Hill,
Smith, and Gonzalez. While I like Hill, I have the Bills
taking Smith who will finally give Buffalo a receiver who can take
advantage of the attention opposing defesnes give to Evans.
Pick history: Timmons
Prior players selected: RB Lynch
|All I keep reading is
how the current Falcon running backs (Dunn, Norwood) are not good
fits for new coach Petrino's preferred rushing style. Most
stories writing about this fact also say that his former
Louisville player, Michael Bush, is a logical choice to be drafted
by his former college coach. However, Louisville played in
the Big East so Petrino is also very familiar with Brian Leonard.
Leonard is also a big strong back, who is faster and a better
athlete than Bush, doesn't have his injury concerns, and can be a
backup fullback as well.
Pick history: Leonard
Prior players selected: S Landry, DE
|It is here in round
two, that the Panthers draft their safety, not in round one as
many project. There are a number of good safeties available
at this spot. While Eric Weddle has received a lot of
attention because he was a favorite of NFL Network analyst Mike
Mayock, Aaron Rouse is a big safety, with good athleticism and
speed, who is a big hitter and has better cover skills than many
Prior players selected: LB Willis
|Pittsburgh 1s an
interesting team to project in the draft on defense. Is
Tomlin committed to to 3-4, or is he looking to move to a 4-3?
I believe he will stay with the 3-4 as long as it's successful,
but will want to start having some pieces in place in case he
wants to transition to the 4-3. With than in mind, Black has
the size to play inside in a 3-4, and can become a dominate
weakside linebacker in a 4-3. He is one of the fastest,
quickest, and athletic linebackers in the draft.
Pick history: Crowder
Prior players selected: DE Carricker
|The Packers could go
safety or running back in this spot. At running back, Irons
is too similar to Morency and Bush, who would be a good player to
pair with Morency, is an injury risk. Therefore, look for
the Pack to address their need at running back in round three,
unless they are sold on Combine workout star Chris Henry of
Arizona and feel he will be off the board by the time they're up
in round three. Weddle is a smart player who showed more
athleticism than expected during his workouts. He will
replace Manuel in the Packers' starting lineup.
Pick history: Weddle
Prior players selected: TE Olsen
|The Jaguars top three
receivers are all tall, often unreliable, options. Of the
three (Jones, Williams, Wilford), I like Jones' potential the
best. However, a quick, sure-handed receiver would make
sense to initially be a reliable, move-the-chains slot receiver,
and down-the-line to start opposite Jones. Gonzalez fits
that job description to a tee. He is a polished route
runner, has reliable hands, has good speed and is quick. He
could become "fill in the blank's" (Leftwich, Garrard,
Gray) favorite target.
Pick history: Gonzalez
Prior players selected: FS Nelson
|If the Bengals even
think of offense at this spot they should replace their general
manager immediately. Getting more talent on defense is a
must. I could see the Bengals going defensive end here since
Justin Smith is talking holdout and could be gone next year.
However, with O'Neal slipping and likely to be moved, a young
corner to pair with Jefferson, moving Ratliff to the nickel where
he belongs, makes sense. The selection could be Josh Wilson,
but McCauley fits the Bengals scheme better.
Pick history: McCauley
Prior players selected: DT Harrell
|The Titans could go free safety or
wide receiver. Hill is a player I like a lot. It
wouldn't surprise me if he becomes the second best receiver in the
draft (behind Johnson). Hill is a steal here, and a player
the Titans' can use.
Pick history: Wendling
Prior players selected: CB Hall
|The Giants could go
free safety, running back (a smaller, quick type of back like
Irons), linebacker, or tackle. However, left tackle is their
biggest need and an intriguing, fast-rising prospect, Marten is on
the board. The Giants' let Petitgout move on and their
current plan is to move former starting guard Dave Diehl to left
tackle. Marten will provide the Giants with a backup plan,
and a future starter at left tackle.
Pick history: Marten
Prior players selected: CB Houston
North Carolina St
|This pick comes down to
a choice between a defensive tackle or a wide receiver who can be
#4 now, and be the future replacement for Bruce in a year or two
(either as starter or slot receiver with Bennett moving to Bruce's
slot). With better depth at receiver, I look for the Rams to
draft Tyler, a very strong kid who can stuff the run.
However, if they drafted wide receiver Allison at this spot I
Pick history: Tyler
Prior players selected: DE Anderson
|For the second spot in
a row, Allison will be considered. However, with Rivera
coming off surgery again, and the jury still out on Kosier, I look
for the Cowboys to draft a guard. The choice could come down
to Sears, a college tackle projected to guard in the NFL, or
Beekman, currently an underrated prospect who is a true guard.
I have the Cowboys settling on Sears.
Pick history: Sears
Prior players selected: FS
|With Shields retirement, I have the
Chiefs moving off the corner at this spot and taking a guard
instead. Beekman is one of the best pure guards in the
draft. He should be a good player for years.
Pick history: Wilson
Prior players selected: WR Jarrett
|The Seahawks are
another team that can use a run-stuffing defensive tackle.
But just like with K.C., there isn't a player at that position I
have ranked in the next group of players who is a massive
run-stuffing defensive tackle (Mebane is a defensive tackle who
could be considered at this spot but he is a bit undersized).
With tight end Stevens cut loose, the Seahawks signed and are
talking up Pollard, but he hasn't been a top flight tight end
since leaving the Colts. At this point in the draft Miller
is a steal. He is a very good pass catching tight end.
Pick history: Miller
|The Broncos strategy pays off.
Harris is available at this spot in the draft. At least in
my mock. Harris start6s in the middle in place of the
released Al Wilson from day one.
Prior players selected: DE Moss
|This is a good spot for
Bush. The Eagles resigned Buckhalter so if Bush is slow to
recover, he can spend time on the PUP, or take a year to get back
to full strength, while Buckhalter backs up Westbrook. When
Bush gets healthy, he will be a good, power compliment to
Westbrook, frustrating Westbrook fantasy football owners who will
lose goal line touchdowns to Bush.
Prior players selected: CB Revis
|While it would be wise
for the Saints to draft more defensive talent, and they signed
former 49ers tight end Eric Johnson, Ben Patrick will be too
tempting for Coach Peyton to pass up. He likes two-way tight
ends, something the injury-prone Johnson is not (he is mainly a
receiver), and Patrick may be the best blocking/receiving combo
tight end in the draft. Patrick has a big upside and will
help both the passing and running games of the Saints.
Pick history: Patrick
Prior players selected: LB Timmons
||N. Y. Jets
|Wilson has a chance to
come in and start right away opposite Dyson. Miller is best
suited as a nickel, as is Barrett, Poteat, D Coleman any other of
the corners currently on the Jets' roster. Wilson is an
underrated prospect who may fall because he lacks ideal size.
He is a steal at this spot on the draft.
Pick history: Wade
Prior players selected: OG Blalock
|What Miami does in this
spot will depend what they do at quarterback over the days leading
up to the draft. Stanton is their pick and becomes the
Dolphins' quarterback of the future. In an ironic twist,
this will be the third second round pick the Dolphins spent on a
quarterback in recent years (traded second round picks for Feeley
and Culpepper). At least this time it's a player they are
selecting in the draft.
Pick history: Stanton
Prior players selected: Ginn Jr.,
|Every now and then a
pick looks easy. I look for the Ravens to replace excellent
athlete, former defensive end turned outside linebacker Thomas,
with Tim Shaw, a former defensive end who is a great athlete and
will play outside linebacker in a 3-4 defense in the NFL.
Shaw ran the forty in the 4.4's, ran a short shuttle in running
back territory, lifted the bar 26 times, and had one of the better
high and broad jumps amongst outside linebackers available in the
Pick history: Shaw
Prior players selected: C Kalil
|This is another spot
where a player jumps out at me. The Chargers have been
looking for an in the box strong safety for awhile. Kiel
never lived up to expectations. Piscitelli is a smart
player, with linebacker size, 4.4 speed, wide receiver quickness
(3.90 short shuttle), and good strength and athleticism. He
is a hitter, but needs to learn to wrap up better.
Piscitelli will add another unique, and top athlete to the Charger
Pick history: Piscitelli
Prior players selected: WR Bowe
||N. Y Jets
|Personally, I like
Clowney a little more than Allison, but that is apparently a
minority view. So if the Jets agree with me the pick will be
Clowney not Allison. While receiver may not appear to be a
need for the Jets, I see Coles aging quickly, McCareins leaving
one of these offseasons, Smith remaining in a specialty role, and
Dwight spending a lot of time in the trainer's room.
Cotchery is the only long term, sure-fire receiver I see on the
Jets' roster. Allison could be the answer opposite Cotchery
in a couple of years.
Pick history: Allison
Prior players selected: OG Blalock,
|Will Allen has not
developed as the Bucs had hoped. He's okay, but very
replaceable. Wendling is an athletic safety who likes to
hit. He is a good fit for the Bucs system. He is
interchangeable as a weak and strong safety since he has good
cover skills for a safety and is a hitter.
Prior players selected: WR Johnson,
|While guard is not as big a need as
tackle was (drafted Ugoh in my mock in round two), the Raiders'
young guards didn't exactly create big rushing lanes for the
Raiders' running backs. Both Jordan and Fargas averaged
under 4 yards a carry last year. Alleman is one of the most
athletic guards in the draft and has a great upside.
Pick history: Beekman
Prior players selected: QB Russell, OT Ugoh
|Abiamiri was inconsistent in
college, but at times was a monster. At 267 he is a bit
light for a 3-4 end, but has the frame to add 15 to 20 pounds.
He could find a home on a team that plays the aging Roye and
inconsistent Smith as their starting defensive ends.
Pick history: McBean
Prior players selected: RB Peterson,
|I can see the Lions going
quarterback or cornerback at this spot. I know the talk
leading up to the draft is Edwards will go at the the top of
round two, but between him, Beck and Stanton, one should be
available here. If not I would look for them to draft Tanard
Jackson, Fred Bennett, or maybe take a chance on Daymeion Hughes.
Edwards is a good match for offensive coordinator Mike Martz'
Pick history: Edwards
Prior players selected: DE Adams, OG
|Thomas has excellent strength and
quickness. However, he had off field troubles at Florida.
The Bucs took a chance on Warren Sapp years ago, and will do so
again with Thomas. He has the ability to be the best defense
tackle the Bucs have had since Sapp. McFarland was solid for
awhile, but he is now in Indy. Thomas should be able to give
Wyms a run for his money to start at the under-tackle this year.
Worst best case, Thomas can back up Wyms and Hovan since he has
the size/strength to play the nose as well as the athleticism to
play the under-tackle. Worst worst case he spends time in
the NFL substance abuse program.
Pick history: Thomas
Prior players selected: WR Johnson,
DE Spencer, FS Wendling
|One of the biggest disappointments
over the last few years for me in the draft is the lack of
progress of OLB Blackstock. I thought he was a steal when
the Cards drafted him, but he hasn't been able to capture a
starting job. The selection of Alexander will allow Arizona
to move Dansby back to the strongside, and relegate Pace to pass
rush specialist. Alexander is a football player who performs
better on the field than in workouts.
Pick history: Black
Prior players selected: OT Thomas, DE
|The untimely death of Darrent
Williams not only left a hole in the Bronco secondary, but also in
their return game. Figurs may be the fastest player in the
draft. He has excellent return skills and will also be a
good fourth receiver. With Walker, Marshall, Smith and
Stokely on board, their is probably only one spot left for a
receiver on game day. That receiver would be Figurs if
drafted here, since he would return both punts and kickoffs for
Prior players selected: DE Moss, LB
|So many needs, which way to go?
I can see the Dolphins looking corner or running back at this spot
as well as tackle. However, tackle is less likely to provide
a long term answer after this spot. There are some
interesting offensive tackle prospects on the board. There
are some small school prospects with good athleticism, and some
larger school prospect who have flashed top talent, but were
inconsistent. Which one they will like is a bit of a
crapshoot, so I gave the Fins the tackle that I like most at this
spot. Yanda needs to bulk up and get a bit stronger, but he
is a good athlete for the position, and goes all out every play.
Prior players selected: Ginn Jr.,
FS/SS Griffin, QB Stanton
|The Vikings have an excellent left
side (through center), and Cook showed some promise at right
tackle, but Hicks didn't have as good a year as Minnesota hoped at
right guard. Ramirez is the big, strong guard who could
start his rookie year.
Pick history: Alleman
Prior players selected: QB Quinn, WR
|This pick could come down to a pass
rushing defensive end or a fast receiver. There are solid
choices at both positions. Since the Texans took Mario
Williams as the top pick overall last year, I look for them to go
for the pass rushing defensive end to help out Williams and make
their fans less disgusted at the team passing on Bush and Young.
If Moses came out after his junior year he would have been a first
round pick. If the Texans go for a wide receiver, Clowney
would be a great, not good pick.
Pick history: Moses
Prior players selected: OT Staley
|With Clements leaving, the Bills are
turning a starting cornerback spot over to Youboty. Jackson can
come in, push Youboty, and provide an alternative as a starter at
corner. Worst case Jackson is a nickel who can backup at
corner and safety. Jackson is a good football player, who
performs better than he tests. Since the Bills like athletic
players in their secondary, a sleeper for this spot is Usama Young
who has skills and had a tremendous workout.
Prior players selected: RB Lynch, WR
|Wrotto is the big, strong guard that
is needed for Petrino's power running game. Fornay is a good
player, but a tad small for that style. Clabo is a bit
bigger than Fornay, but was a backup last year. Wrotto makes
a lot of sense at this spot for Atlanta.
Pick history: Ramirez
Prior players selected: S Landry, DE
Crowder, RB Leonard
|With Smith getting up in age and
second round rated Buster Davis still available, the 49ers get a
steal at this spot in the draft. Davis is a good fit as an
inside linebacker in San Fran's 3-4 defense. Linebacker
coach Singletary worked with Davis at the enior Bowl.
Pick history: Harris
Prior players selected: DT Branch, WR
|Again, drafting defense for the
Steelers is an interesting exercise. Any player drafted must
fit in the current 3-4, and also have a position should Tomlin
switch to his preferred 4-3 down the line. Woodley
fits that bill. He can be an OLB in a 3-4, and has enough
size to be a DE in a 4-3. With Porter gone, Woodley will
push Harrison to start in his place.
Prior players selected: DE Carricker,
|My strategy for Green Bay paid off.
Henry is still on the board at this spot. He is the choice
over Irons and Booker because the Pack already has a smallish,
quick back in Morency to be part of a two-headed running back.
Henry is fast, strong, quick, and athletic. However, he only
started a few games at Arizona. If his physical ability wins
out, he will be the main back. At worst, he will be the
change-of-pace and short-yardage back.
Pick history: Henry
Prior players selected: TE Olsen, SS
|There isn't a player on the board
that jumps out at me for the Jags at this spot. That's not a
bad thing since it means the team has quality depth (now including
Nelson and Gonzalez). At corner the Jags have a good
starting duo (Mathis and Williams). With Scott Starks, Terry
Cousin and Batman Carroll, they have decent options at nickel
corner. However, while all three are fine nickels, none
could step in and be an above average starter if needed.
Wade has that potential.
Pick history: Bennett
Prior players selected: FS Nelson, WR
(Cin skipped - used pick in 2006 supplemental
|With a second round running back
(Irons) still on the board, the Titans' put off grabbing a safety
for at least another round and draft the talented Irons.
Personally, I would take Irons in this spot even if the Titans
resign Chris Brown. However, I'm not sure Tennessee will.
I am not convinced that White is a starting caliber NFL running
Pick history: Irons
Prior players selected: CB Hall, WR
|Gee, it's now round three and I
still don't have the Giants taking the linebacker that almost
everyone says they need. I love Pierce. I liked the
signing of Mitchell in free agency, and I like Wilkinson who the
G-men drafted in round three last year. Blackburn and Torbor
are acceptable subs, and the G-men can add another body or two for
their bench later in the draft. Booker is the perfect player
for the Giants at this spot. Both Jacobs and Droughns are
bigger backs. Booker is the perfect change-of-pace, and
third-down back because of his big-play ability.
Pick history: Booker
Prior players selected: CB Houston,
|The Chiefs need a defensive tackle,
and this is a good spot to take a chance on Brown. When he
puts his mind to it, he can dominate. As a third round pick,
Brown will have to work hard to get a big pay day after his rookie
contract is done.
Pick history: K Brown
Prior players selected: WR Jarrett,
Missouri South St
|With the Panthers changing from a
power running game to a zone blocking scheme, mobile, athletic
offensive linemen are needed. You don't get more athletic at
tackle than Barbre whose workout numbers were among the best at
the position across the board. Barbre may need some time
making the jump from Missouri Southern State, but he has the
skills and athletic ability to be a very good tackle.
Pick history: Barbre
Prior players selected: LB Willis, SS
|While Clowney is the highest rated
receiver on my draft board, I don't think he will be the Rams
pick. When Curtis left, the Rams replaced him with a bigger
receiver (Bennett). Therefore, I don't think the Rams will go
Clowney at this spot. Davis is a lot higher on many draft
boards than on mine. I have Taylor, McKnight and L Robinson
a little ahead of him also, but I think Davis will be drafted
ahead of those three.
Pick history: Davis
Prior players selected: DE Anderson,
|Seattle needs a defensive tackle who
can stuff the run. Soliai is a 340+ pound defensive tackle
who has good speed and athleticism for his size and could be the
run-stuffer the Seahawks need in the middle of their defense.
Pick history: Mebane
Prior players selected: TE Miller
|Lynch and Ferguson and still get it
done but both are in their 30's. Condren is a rare athlete.
At Troy he got by on his athleticism so he will need to learn to
play within a system. With Lynch and Ferguson on hand he
will have time (and mentors). In the meantime, he will be a
special teams demon. How special an athlete is Condren?
How about 24 reps, 4.47 in the forty, 4.10 short shuttle, 6.69
three-cone, a 43" vertical and a 11'3" broad jump!
Huh??? This is a good football player and a rare athlete.
Pick history: Condren
Prior players selected: DE Moss, LB
Harris, WR/KR Figurs
|This is another spot where I see a
team moving quickly to get their card in to the podium. With
Owens always a heartbeat away from imploding, and Glenn getting up
there in years, a big-play receiver makes a lot of sense at this
spot. Clowney not only fits that bill, but is the top rated
player left on my board. I have a second round grade on him.
Pick history: Clowney
Prior players selected: FS
Meriweather, OG Sears
|Mebane can start off as the Saints'
third defensive tackle and down the line become a starter. A
corner such as Bennett is also a possibility here, even after
Pick history: Alama-Francis
Prior players selected: LB Timmons,
||N. Y. Jets
|The Pats like drafting tackles and
moving them to end in their 3-4. Look for the Jets to do the
same thing. McBean has the tools to kick outside in the Jets
3-4 defense and challenge von Oelhoffen for a starting job.
Pick history: Soliai
Prior players selected: OG Blalock,
Wilson CB, Allison WR
|With Lewis gone, the Eagles need
depth at the position. They also need a young player to
groom behind Dawkins. Johnson has good instincts and can
play both the run and pass. Johnson is nice value at this
spot in the draft.
Pick history: Johnson
Prior players selected: CB Revis, RB
|With the noise being made by Samuel,
asking for a trade, the Pats will look to add corner depth in the
draft. At this spot their are a number of choices, including
the freakish athlete Young, the slow but productive Hughes, the
small school prospect Coe, and the reliable Irons. Scott is
the pick because he has a nice combination of height, speed and
athleticism, and is as NFL-ready as any of the players mentioned.
Pick history: Scott
Prior players selected: OT Brown, ILB
|DeOssie is a strong, fast linebacker
who can push Haggan to start on the strongside, or play the middle
and allow Crowell to kick outside. He will also be a terror
on special teams.
Pick history: L Robinson
Prior players selected: RB Lynch, WR
Smith, CB T Jackson
|Turner the burner will have to be
replaced this year or next. Turner is a 5-11, 237 pound
runner with speed and strength. Battle is 5-11, 229 and
lifted the bar 19 times, and ran a 4.42 forty. He showed
excellent quickness (4.11 short shuttle) and superb athleticism
(41" vertical, 10'11" broad jump). Battle also
produced on the field rushing for over 900 yards, with 15
touchdowns and a 5.1 yard per carry average his senior year.
Battle will be a good replacement for Turner as a backup for
Pick history: Battle
Prior players selected: WR Bowe, SS
|The Bears could go defensive tackle
at this spot but the player most worth the spot, Pitcock, is very
similar to Dusty Dvorcek drafted last year and coming back from
injury. They also signed Anthony Adams in free agency.
Therefore, the Bears will look elsewhere with this pick. A
combination of need and value for the Bears at this spot is to
draft depth for their offensive line, or to draft a tight end.
With Fred Miller 34, Koets an athletic right tackle makes sense.
Offensive guard Wrotto, and tight end Allan also received
consideration by me for the Bears at this spot.
Pick history: Koets
Prior players selected: OLB Posluszny,
|Nkang is an undersized outside
linebacker with excellent speed and athleticism. Sound
familar? Yup, similar to the departed Catu June. Nkang
also has excellent strength for his size and is a good coverage
Pick history: Nkang
Prior players selected: CB Ross
||San Diego (c)
|With Edwards gone this
offseason and Godfrey gone this year or next, the Chargers need
depth at inside linebacker. Wilhelm and Cooper are set as
the new inside tandem. Durant is an excellent athlete and
will have time to adjust to the NFL.
Prior players selected: WR Bowe, SS
Piscitelli, Battle RB
||San Francisco (c)
|This is a pick that
should happen late in day one if no other team takes a flyer on
Barnes. He is one of the few college players who has played
(and with success) outside linebacker in a 3-4 in college.
He is very strong, very fast and a good athlete. He could be
special, or he could fade away. With Lawson starting his NFL
career slowly in terms of getting after thye quarterback, Barnes
increases the odds for the 49ers that they will have a dominate
pass rusher in their 3-4 defense.
Pick history: Barnes
Prior players selected: DT Branch, WR
Rice, ILB Davis
|Taylor is a reliable
target who will be a good #3 to start off and could replace
Harrison down the line. I like him in this spot over the speedy
Robinson and the inconsistent, but big-play potential of McKnight.
A sleeper for the Colts on day two is running back D.D. Terry.
Pick history: Irons
Prior players selected: CB Ross, OLB
|Robinson is 6'2",
but has the speed (4.38 in the forty) and athleticism of smaller
receivers. Davis loves speed, and this gives the Raiders a
future big-play receiver for Russell should (when?) Moss is shown
Pick history: Pitcock
Prior players selected: QB Russell, OT Ugoh,