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JAY GOLDBERG's MOCK DRAFT
GO TO JAY's 2011 MOCK DRAFT
updated 04/18/10
NOW 2 ROUNDS

 

ROUND 1
Last mock in red indicates a change

PICK TEAM PLAYER COMMENT
1 STL Bradford
OB
Oklahoma
Last year I said they would regret passing on Sanchez and I think that is true.  As the draft approaches I expect them to convince themselves more and more that Bradford is their guy.
Last mock was: Bradford QB
2 DET Suh
DT
Nebraska
The Lions are on record as saying that they will draft the best non-QB on their board.  That will be Suh who also fills a team need.
Last mock was: Suh DT
3 TB McCoy
DT
Oklahoma
The Bucs want a defensive tackle and McCoy fits their system perfectly.
Last mock was: McCoy DT
4 WAS Okung
OT
Oklahoma State
Now that the Redskins have their star quarterback in  McNabb, the Okung projection looks even more solid than it did on my last mock. 
Last mock was: Okung OT
5 KC T Williams
OT
Oklahoma
I indicated when he was drafted that Albert was a bit of a reach as a left tackle.  I liked him as a guard, especially as a run blocker.  Williams allows the Chiefs to move Albert off of left tackle.  If they are smart they will let him settle in at guard, not right tackle.  I have Williams rated higher than Bulaga and Davis, however they may not and could draft one of those two instead of Williams.  However, Williams is the best bet to be a left tackle and would be well advised to grab him and not have another situation where they have a good football player, but one whose best position is not the position they projected him to play.
Last mock was: T Williams OT
6 SEA Bulaga
OT
Iowa
This is where the draft could become interesting.  The Seahawks could use a left tackle, a pass rushing defensive end, or a playmaking safety.  With the Whitehurst signing I now look for the Seahawks to address their future offensive line since Whitehurst is not the mobile of quarterbacks.
Last mock was: Bulaga OT
7 CLE Berry
FS
Tennessee

While the Browns need upgrades on offense, Holgrem has confidence he can identify and develop quarterbacks so I believe they will pass on Clausen; they drafted two young receivers in round two last year so I believe they will pass on a receiver here; and Harrison is a good smaller back, so they will pass on Spiller and grab one of the big backs later in the draft.  That leaves the playmaking safety Berry as the Browns' choice here. 
Last mock was: Berry FS

8 OAK Campbell
OT
Maryland
Al Davis will try to give his hand chosen quarterback, Russell, every chance to succeed.  To help that happen, he'll bring in a left tackle who can pass block.  With the choices down to Davis and Campbell, one with better on-field production but a disappointing workout ,and the other an uneven performance on the field but a tremendous workout, who do you think Al Davis will draft?  Yup, the workout warrior.
Last mock was: Campbell
9 BUF Davis
OT
Rutgers
This is starting to be a popular landing spot for Clausen in mock drafts.  Not for me.  If the Bills cannot rebuild their offensive line it won't matter who they put under center.  With the Bills offensive line I couldn't see them putting Clausen on the field even if they drafted him here.  Therefore, I look for them to build their offensive line this year, go with what they have at quarterback this year (possibly adding a quarterback later in the draft), and making QB a priority next year.
Last mock was: Davis OT
10 JAC Thomas
FS
Texas
While Jacksonville signing Kampman doesn't rule out Pierre-Paul or Morgan, I think they have too many other holes to invest in another defensive end here.  I expect them to draft Thomas to be the play-making safety they hoped Nelson would be.  Besides, having a free safety who can cover isn't a bad idea when  playing Manning and Schaub twice a year
Last mock was: Thomas FS
11 DEN Bryant
WR
Oklahoma State
The Broncos sit back and watch patiently as the top receiver in the draft falls to them.  With Marshall now traded, I feel even more confident about this projection.  Bryant becomes the Broncos' new number one receiver.
Last mock was: Bryant WR
12 MIA Pierre-Paul
DE/OLB
South Florida
Parcells drafts athletic defensive end Pierre-Paul, moves him to outside linebacker in their 3-4 defense, and hopes he has the same success as the last time he drafted an athletic defensive end and moved him to outside linebacker (DeMarcus Ware).
Last mock was: Pierre-Paul
13 SF Haden
CB
Florida
With the signing of David Carr the 49ers have decided to go with Alex-Smith-insurance, not Alex-Smith-replacement.  I think that is a big mistake.  If the draft unfolds as I have it, there will be three players the 49ers will consider as need/value players in Haden and Iupati, who I am not as high on as most; and running back Spiller.  I think they should draft outside linebacker Kindle (I like Graham better as a defensive end), but I think in this scenario they go for Haden.
Last mock was: Haden CB
14 SEA Morgan
DE
Georgia Tech
Now that Kerney has retired, I am even more convinced that Morgan would be the choice here over a player like Spiller, if the draft unfolded as I have it.   The Seahawks badly need a pass rusher.
Last mock was: Morgan DE
PRIOR SELECTION: Bulaga OT
15 NYG Weatherspoon
ILB
Missouri
The Dolphins signing Dansby logically leaves McClain for the Giants.  However, I guess I'm not logical.  Originally I was all over Weatherspoon here, then the "experts" swayed me to McClain.  But you know what, McClain will struggle as a 4-3 middle linebacker.  He will be much better in a 3-4.  Weatherspoon is a kid I love.  He has the talent, physical skills and leadership to be a special player as a 4-3 middle linebacker.  And I expect the Giants to recognize that and grab him here.
Last mock was: Weatherspoon LB
16 TEN Graham
DE
Michigan
If the unfolds as I have it, the Titans will have a tough choice between Wilson and Graham.  While many project Graham to OLB in a 3-4 defense, he has the ability to play end in a 4-3 and be a top pass rusher.  He also plays the run better than many think.  Even as a part time player, he'll be worth the investment.  Fisher will find ways to get him on the field to apply pressure to opposing quarterbacks.  
Last mock was: Graham DE
17 SF Saffold
OT
Indiana
With five offensive tackles off the board, the 49ers may get antsy and reach a bit for a badly needed right tackle here.  The only question will be is it a kid like Brown, Saffold or Ducasse, or do they believe the guard Iupati could handle that position.  My gut feel is that Saffold will start shooting up the draft board as Draft Day inches closer and he will be the pick for the 49ers here.
Last mock was: Saffold OT

PRIOR SELECTION: Haden CB
18 PIT McClain
ILB
Alabama
I could see cornerback Wilson, guard Iupati, center Pouncey, or McClain.  With the team annoyed at Big Ben, maybe another year of him being hit by defensive lineman is in his future.  Therefore, I'll go with McClain as the selection.  Also, it wouldn't surprise me here is the Steelers selected Clausen. 
Last mock was: McClain ILB
19 ATL Griffen
DE
USC
After signing Robinson I no longer have them selecting Wilson.  The Falcons need a pass rushing end to play opposite Abraham.  Anderson just hasn't developed in a pass rusher.  Both Dunlap and Griffin are possibilities.  Both didn't live up to full expectations in college, however, Dunlap is dropping more than Griffen.
Last mock was: Dunlap DE
20 HOU Wilson
CB
Boise State
With Matthews on the board, he will be tempting.  However, I think the Texans will look for a running back later in the draft.  With Dunta Robinson leaving in free agency, the Texans  need a corner.  
Last mock was: Wilson CB
21 CIN Gresham
TE
Oklahoma
Williams is back and even though the Bengals need depth at guard, I now have them moving away from Iupati.  After a worse than expected passing game, the Bengals added wide receiver Bryant, but are still missing a reliable tight end for Palmer to throw to.  With their new commitment to the run, however, they need a tight end who can also block.  Gresham is a good blocker who can catch.
Last mock was: Iupati OG
22 NE Spiller
RB
Clemson
There are suddenly lots of great choices for the Pats.  Spiller, Odrick, Kindle, oh my.  With New England talking about committing more to the run next year, look for Spiller's fall to stop here.
Last mock was: Spiller RB
23 GB Kindle
OLB
Texas
The Packers run up to the podium in this scenario to hand in their card for Kindle.  Paired with Matthews, this gives the Pack a very "Steeler-esque" look at linebacker.
Last mock was: Kindle OLB
24 PHI
Pouncey
OC
Florida
While the signing of Bell was not a major signing, it does have me thinking Philly will now go with Pouncey as Jamall Jackson insurance and bring in a back to challenge for a role in their backfield later in the draft.
Last mock was: Pouncey OC
25 BAL Robinson
CB
Florida State
With the trade for Boldin and signing of Stallworth, I no longer have the Ravens selecting a wide receiver.  Robinson is very talented, but somewhat inconsistent.  Drafting him while they still Ray Lewis as a leader on defense, to get him committed to excellent could end up in late first round steal for Baltimore.
Last mock was: Robinson CB
26 ARZ Hughes
OLB
TCU
The Cardinals like former defensive-ends to play outside linebacker in their 3-4 defense (Okeafor, Berry, etc.).  Hughes is more talented that the players they have played their in the recent past and has the size they like.  Even with their signing of Porter, Hughes makes sense.  He is an upgrade over Okeafor.
Last mock was: Griffen
27 DAL Brown
OT
USC
Since my last mock draft the Cowboys  released Flozell Adams.  While Free will get the first chance to start in his place, Brown offers competition for a vital position on the team.
Last mock was: Mays FS
28 SD D Williams
DT
Tennessee
While they need a runner, the Chargers will run to the podium to hand in their card if the draft unfolds as I have it.  D. Williams gives them a nose tackle to replace J Williams.
Last mock was: D Williams DT
29 NYJ Odrick
DT/DE
Penn State
With the trade for Cromartie, the Jets no longer will draft a cornerback here.  With the trade for Holmes, they no longer need a wide receiver.  So I now project them drafting Odrick top play defensive end in their 3-4.
Last mock was: Benn WR
30 MIN Clausen
QB
Notre Dame
Whether Favre comes back or not, the Vikings need their quarterback of the future and grab Clausen.
Last mock was: Clausen QB
31 IND Dunlap
DE
Florida
With Brown gone and no tackle worthy of this spot in the draft, I now have the Colts drafting Dunlap who has size to go along with the speed the Colts' covet.  He is a bit of a risk, but with Freeney and Mathis already onboard, a risk they can take.
Last mock was: Brown OT
32 NO
Alualu
DT
California

The Saints need to shore up their run defense.  Pairing Aluala, a very high motor player, with Ellis at tackle will help.  Alualu always seems to be around the ball.
Last mock was: Odrick DT

ROUND 2
Last mock in red indicates a change

PICK TEAM PLAYER COMMENT
33 STL Thomas
WR
Georgia Tech
The Rams have Avery and Robinson, both receivers with good speed.  Thomas provides them with a physical wide-out.
PRIOR SELECTION: Bradford QB
Last mock was: Thomas WR
34 DET McCourty
CB
Rutgers
The Lions stole Delmas at the top of round two last year and I have them doing the same thing this year with McCourty who will be another top piece in the Lions' secondary.  By the way, I like Houston who they picked up from Atlanta as well.
PRIOR SELECTION: Suh DT
Last mock was: McCourty CB
35 TB Tate
WR
Notre Dame
Tate is badly needed by Tampa Bay.  They have no receivers who strike fear in opposing defenses.  Tate, although short, is strong and fast is a playmaker.
PRIOR SELECTION: McCoy DT
Last mock was: Tate WR
36 KC Mays
FS
USC
While I like Thomas he should still be on the board when KC is up next.  So I now have them drafting Mays, a player I like a lot who will be their top safety from day one.
PRIOR SELECTION: T Williams OT
Last mock was: Thomas DT
37 PHI Washington
OLB
TCU
The Eagles are ecstatic that Washington is available for them here.  He comes in and starts at WILL right away. 
PRIOR SELECTION: Pouncey C
Last mock was: Washington OLB
04/19 - NOTE - after acquiring Sims this will obviously not happen.  I now look for Jackson CB Alabama to be the selection here.
38 CLE McCoy
QB
Texas
Delhomme and Wallace will hold the fort for now, and the Browns will develop the intelligent and accurate McCoy and hope he can overcome his lack of height.
PRIOR SELECTION: Berry FS
Last mock was: McCoy QB
39 OAK Chaney
ILB
Miss State
Trying to predict what the Raiders will do is fun.  It allows you to take a chance on a surprise player and no one looks at you strangely because the Raiders do strange things themselves.  For some reason Oakland is looking to replace Morrison at middle linebacker.  Personally, I think he is a very good player.  Chaney is one of those size/workout number combo players  the Raiders love.  He is more athletic than instinctive, but could fit here, a round or so higher than where I have him graded.
PRIOR SELECTION: Campbell OT
Last mock was: Chaney ILB
40 SD Matthews
RB
Fresno State
When San Diego was on the clock in round one, Matthews was a player I considered for them.  Well, this pick from the Seahawks ensures that they get both their nose tackle and the runner they targeted.
PRIOR SELECTION: D Williams DT
Last mock was: Matthews RB
41 BUF Cody
DT
Alabama
A key to the 34 defense is a big nose tackle who occupies blockers.  You can't get much bigger than Cody.  This could be a spot for Tebow, but the Bills already have too many question marks at quarterback and won't add another one this early in the draft.
PRIOR SELECTION: Davis OT
Last mock was: Cody DT
42 TB

K Jackson
CB
Alabama

Barber is getting up their in age.  Jackson gives the Bucs a young, talented corner to pair with Talib long term.
PRIOR SELECTION: McCoy DT, Tate WR
Last mock was: Jackson CB
04/19 - NOTE - with PHI acquiring Sims  I now look for Jackson CB Alabama to be the selection at #37 and have TB selecting Cook CB Virginia.
43 DEN Iupati
OG
Idaho
Look who fell into the Broncos' lap from the Miami trade.  Excellent value meets team need as the Broncos get Iupati.
PRIOR SELECTION: Bryant WR
Last mock was for Miami
44 NE Benn
WR
Illinois
The Patriots sit back and watch another good player fall into their laps.  Benn can start outside opposite Moss with Edelman early and Welker late playing the slot.
PRIOR SELECTION: Spiller RB
Last mock was: Hughes OLB
45 DEN Walton
C
Baylor
The Broncos need a center badly and cannot take a chance on waiting until round three to grab a player capable of starting as a rookie.
PRIOR SELECTION: Bryant WR, Iupati OG
Last mock was: Walton OC
46 NYG Price
DT
UCLA
The Giants run to the podium to submit this card.  Price fills both a need and is one of the top values left on the board.
PRIOR SELECTION: Weatherspoon (ILB)
Last mock was: Price DT
47 NE Misi
OLB
Utah
Misi is the Patriots' type of player at a position of need, pass-rushing outside linebacker.
PRIOR SELECTION: Spiller RB, Benn WR
Last mock was: Gresham TE
48 CAR Williams
WR
USC
The Panthers need a receiver to pair with Steve Smith.   Williams is a safe pick.  Personally, I like Blair White as a sleeper who will be an excellent number two NFL receiver.  If he looks good in position drills during workouts, Mitchell is a kid who could go here instead of Williams.
Last mock was: Williams WR
49 SF Worilds
OLB
VA Tech
The 49ers outside linebackers are okay, but none is a feared sacker who must be accounted for every down.  Worilds is a terrific athlete who could explode on the scene, or be a tease.  He is worth the risk here because if he succeeds, he helps move the 49ers' defense towards the top of the league.
PRIOR SELECTION: Haden CB, Saffold OT
Last mock was: Worilds OLB
50 KC Thomas
DT
UCLA
I told you Thomas would be available here.  The Chiefs need a a big run-stuffing nose tackle who can occupy blockers.  Thomas fits that bill.
PRIOR SELECTION: T Williams OT, Mays
Last mock was: Allen FS
51 HOU Gerhart
RB
Stanford
Gerhart has proven he has the athletic ability to play running back in the NFL this offseason.  Personally, I love the potential of Hardesty more, but the Texans are often not on the same page as me in the draft.  Dwyer's value is slipping.
PRIOR SELECTION: Wilson CB
Last mock was: Gerhart RB
52 PIT Tebow
QB
Florida
After all the problems Big Ben has been having off the field, the Steelers bring in a kid with great character who can be developed behind Roethlisberger, and be available down the line should Big Ben implode.  Just the message this sends to Roethlisberger could make this pick worthwhile.  So Batch dukes it out with Dixon for #2, and Tebow settles in as #3 for now.
PRIOR SELECTION: McClain ILB
Last mock was: Tebow QB
53 NE Carrington
DE
Arkansas St
Carrington is a big athletic defensive end who has the size to play end in the 3-4 defense.
PRIOR SELECTION: Spiller RB, Benn WR, Misi OLB
Last mock was: White WR
54 CIN Allen
FS
S Florida
The Bengals can use a difference maker at free safety and are surprised that they can add Allen at this spot in the draft.
PRIOR SELECTION: Gresham TE
Last mock was: Gronkowski TE
55 PHI Wooten
DE
Northwestern
The Eagles would like to get a defensive end who teams need to account for to play opposite Cole.  Wooten has good size and has flashed pass rush ability at Northwestern.
PRIOR SELECTION: Pouncey C, Washington OLB
Last mock was: Wooten DE
56 GB Best
RB
California
I could see Green Bay going with a young tackle to develop here or a running back to pair with Grant.  Since Best has fallen in my mock to this spot, I now have them grabbing Best to give Rodgers an additional weapon for his arsenal.
PRIOR SELECTION: Kindle OLB
Last mock was: Veldheer OT
57 BAL Pitta
TE
BYU
While Pitta is the best tight end in the draft.  He is a great fit for this offense.  He has great hands, is strong and a willing blocker, and has sneaky speed.   This assumes that the Ravens ignore Gronkowski who most have rated higher than Pitta.
PRIOR SELECTION: Robinson CB
Last mock was: Pitta TE
58 ARZ Lee
ILB
Penn State
With Dansby leaving in free agency, a replacement is badly needed.  Lee is excellent value at this spot in the draft.
PRIOR SELECTION: Hughes OLB
Last mock was: Lee ILB
59 DAL Burnett
FS
Georgia Tech
The Cowboys finally get a free safety who can make a difference.  Burnett is one of the more underrated players in the draft.
PRIOR SELECTION: Brown OT
Last mock was: Ducasse OT
60 SEA Hardesty
RB
Tenn
Hardesty has the tools to be the best back not named Spiller to come out of this draft.  Seattle's running backs are average and Hardesty has a chance to be their main ball carrier.
PRIOR SELECTION: Bulaga OT, Morgan DE
Last mock was: Hardesty RB
61 NYJ Sapp
OLB
Clemson
It they signed Taylor before the draft, they would have been able to go in another direction at this spot. 
PRIOR SELECTION: Odrick DE
Last mock was: Alualu DE
62 MIN McKnight
RB
USC
While I like Ian Johnson who was a practice squad player for Minnesota last year, McKnight is too good a fit to pass up.  He is the perfect player to replace Chester Taylor as the Vikings third down and change-of-pace back.  Oh yeah, and he provides yet another home-run hitter for this offense.
PRIOR SELECTION: Clausen QB
Last mock was: McKnight RB
63 IND Houston
DT
Texas
Houston is a strong kid with good athleticism for someone his size, which makes him a good fit for the Colts' defense.
PRIOR SELECTION: Dunlap DE
Last mock was: Houston DT
64 NO Watson
OLB
Florida State
Watson is a tremendous athlete and will settle into a starting role, whether the SAM to replace Fujita, or the WILL which is his best NFL position with Shanle or someone else filling the SAM.
PRIOR SELECTION: Alualu DT
Last mock was: Watson OLB
04/19 - NOTE - with PHI acquiring Sims  I now look for Washington OLB TCU to be available here.  I have Watson rated more highly than Washingtoh, but most draft analysts do not.  Therefore, I would now project Washington here.