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COMING IN JUNE, 2013

900 Football Links’

2013 PRO FOOTBALL DRAFT RECAP and FANTASY FOOTBALL and SEASON PREVIEW GUIDE

includes Jay Goldberg's in-depth team by team draft report cards

2013 NFL Draft: Round Two Pick by Pick Analysis
Please note that this analysis is being done pick by pick not after-the-fact so at the time of this analysis, I have no knowledge of what a team did after their selection.

The categories for each selection will be one of the following four:

Agree - nothing more needs to be said, but I'll probably write something anyway.

Can't argue, but ... - the pick makes sense, there are no negative marks for the selection, however, I might have done something different and I'll explain what that was.

Disagree, here's why ... - I see some merit in the pick, but I definitely would have done something different and I'll explain what that was.

Mistake - most often this will be because I would have gone in a totally different direction and, in my opinion, the team will regret their selection in the long run. A mistake listing is not a negative mark on the player drafted. That player could have an excellent NFL career. It's just that I feel the NFL team will regret passing on another player, or not drafting a player at a different position.

     

1. JAC, Johnathan Cyprien, S, Florida International Can't argue, but they still need corners.  Cyprien will be an immediate starter however.
2. TEN, Justin Hunter, WR, Tennessee Agree, Hunter has as much upside as any receiver in this draft, plus Wright needs to be a slot receiver, not starting on the outside.
3. PHI, Zach Ertz, TE, Stanford Disagree, here's why, I would have drafted Hunt, Carradine, or J Williams to play defensive end in their new 3-4 defense
4. DET, Darius Slay, CB, Mississippi State Disagree, here's why, while I like Slay and he is worth this pick at a need position, they need a left tackle more.  I would have gone Armstead or Watson here since both are likely to be gone by the Lions next pick in round three and the drop off to round three tackles will be much greater than the drop off in cornerbacks.  A good corner (Alford?) will be on the board for them in round three.
5. CIN, Giovani Bernard, RB, North Carolina Agree, the perfect pick for the Bengals.  Bernard was the number one running back on my board and is the first off the board in the draft.
6. SD, Manti Te'o ILB, Notre Dame Agree, he should slide in as a starter next to Donald Butler.
7. NYJ, Geno Smith, QB, West Virginia Can't argue, he will be an upgrade, but what if the Jets change coaching staffs next year, will the new coach like him?  A runner such as Lacy or Ball; or a receiver such as Wheaton, Allen or Woods; may have been the smarter way to go.  In a weird way this is a vote of confidence to head coach Ryan.
8. SF, Tank Carradine, DE, Florida State Agree, with no real weaknesses after selecting Reid, this team can just collect the best available players that fit their system.
9. BUF, Robert Woods, WR, USC Can't argue, Woods is a great fit; and receiver was the right way to go.  However, Wheaton is a favorite of mine; I have him rated much higher than most.
10. OAK, Menelik Watson, OT, Florida State Can't argue, he is an excellent developmental tackle; but he may need a year or two to develop and the Raiders need players now.
11. TB, Jonathan Banks, CB, Mississippi State Disagree, Banks was higher on most draft analysts' boards than he was on mine.  Banks is tall with long arms but has below average speed and quickness.  I liked Wreh-Wilson and Amerson more as 6'0'+ corners.
12. CAR, Kawann Short, DT, Purdue Disagree, Short was great at Senor Bowl practices, but Cam Newton needs needs better receivers.
13. ARZ, Kevin Minter, ILB, LSU Mistake, unless they know something about Washington, who is suspended the first four games, that the public does not.  Arizona signed Brinkley and will have Washington after his suspension so Alonso starts for four games.  Arizona needs an upgrade at outside linebacker and Moore, Collins, Washington or T Williams would have been an upgrade for their pass rush.
14. BUF, Kiko Alonso,  ILB, Oregon Disagree, I had a higher grade on Bostic, Beauharnais, and Reddick.
15. DAL, Gavin Escobar, TE, San Diego State Disagree, Escobar adds a good receiver for Romo, but this team needs an impact safety.  Shamarko Thomas or Swearinger would have been my pick.
16. PIT, LeVeon Bell, RB, Michigan State Can't argue, he is a safe pick, has good size, and can run, catch and block.   However, Lacy and Michael have bigger upsides (as well as bigger downsides).
17. NYG, Johnathan Hankins, DT, Ohio State Can't argue, Hankins will be a rotation player right away; however, I would have loved Sio Moore at this spot for the Giants.
18. CHI, Jon Bostic, ILB, Florida Agree, this will prove to be one of the better picks in the draft.
19. WAS, David Amerson, CB, North Carolina State Can't argue, he is a ballhawk with good length; but I liked Wreh-Wilson a little more as a 6'0"+ corner, and Taylor and Alford more as corners.
20. NE, Jamie Collins, DE, Southern Miss Can't argue, he may be a better pass rusher than Chandler Jones who they drafted in round one last year; but wide receiver Markus Wheaton would have been killer at this spot for New England.
21. CIN, Margus Hunt, DE, SMU Can't argue, Hunt is a unique athlete with a tremendous upside; but this team is deep at defensive end.  I would have gone Shamarko Thomas or Swearinger to push to start at strong safety.
22. MIA, Jamar Taylor, CB, Boise State Agree, the Dolphins needed a corner and they get a steal with Taylor at this spot in the draft.
23. SF, Vance McDonald, TE, Rice Agree, he is a better all around tight end than Walker who left in free agency.
24. BAL, Arthur Brown, ILB, Kansas State Agree, he has the mental make-up and ability to replace Ray Lewis in Baltimore.
25. HOU, D. J. Swearinger, S, South Carolina Agree, he should eventually replace Manning as the Texans' starting strong safety.  He becomes the new Pollard to the Texans' new free safety, Ed Reed.
26. DEN, Montee Ball, RB, Wisconsin Agree, excellent pick, he is immediately their best running back.
27. NE, Aaron Dobson, WR, Marshall Disagree, Dobson has great potential, but Wheaton would have been a sure thing.  I know Dobson has the size; but Wheaton has the speed and is a precision route runner, something needed in the Patriots' offense.
28. ATL, Robert Alford, CB, SE Louisiana Agree, a steal for Atlanta.  If not for his Crohn's disease he would have gone earlier.  I have a first round grade on Alford.  
29. GB, Eddie Lacy, RB, Alabama Agree, he is a nice thunder to DuJuan Harris' lightning.  Excellent value at this spot in the draft.
30. SEA, Christine Michael, RB, Texas A&M Can't argue, but with Lynch and Turbin, as talented as he is, he may have trouble getting on the field.  If Seattle wanted a complimentary runner Barner would have given them a different dimension, a dimensioned with Washington no longer on the Seahawks.

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         ALL TEAM SECTIONS INCLUDE:
  • Schedule
  • Depth Chart
  • Season Outlook Write-Up with 2012 Team Offensive & Defensive Rankings
  • Write-Up on Nine Players for Fantasy Football; Each Classified as a Sleeper, Break-Out, Star, or Caution
  • List of Draft Picks (includes top undrafted college street free agents)
  • Workout Numbers for All Players on the Above List (includes the free agents)
  • Notations for Senior Bowl/East West Shrine Game Players That Popped
  • Draft Report Card Write-Up with Grade and Draft Value Index Score
  • College Stats and Write-Ups for Players Drafted or Signed on Jay’s Annual List of Players Who Will Have a Better NFL Career Than Many Selected Higher Than Them in the Draft
  • Team Draft Tendency Chart by Workout Drill for the 2012 and 2013 Drafts
Note - Throughout the team pages are bonus graphs and charts comparing teams’ draft workout strategies, teams’ draft value indices, and fantasy football production comparisons between 2011 and 2012

includes Jay Goldberg's in-depth team by team draft report cards